I have constructed a site table to reflect the affect of global warming on eastern hardwood forest, particularly Zoar Valley. I used data I found on this website:

http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/science/futurecc.html

I will make another that reflects a more extreme increase in temperature. This table shows the minimum predicted difference (1.8 degrees Celsius). There are no reliable predicted changes for rainfall, so I doubled it for every month. My guess is as good as any at the moment. I have also created a working excel notebook that contains tree table data from the historic site table and the global warming site table. I do not know what to really do with it at this time, until it can be broken up into more manageable pieces.

Once my Glass Box program is repaired (again) I will build the exact terraces I have data for as they exist. I feel this will offer an even more realistic simulation.

I have also ordered a book (Forest Dynamics: An ecological Model, by Botkin) through Ohio Link that Irena found, it should be very useful.


~Erin K. Pfeil